OpenAI's Revenue Is $20 Billion Below Investor Expectations

OpenAI has revised the financial figures it shared with investors. A month ago, the company said it was approaching $70 billion in annual revenue; now it's citing $50 billion instead. The $20 billion discrepancy comes down to calculation methodology and a flawed comparison with a competitor. The difference arises because Anthropic counts sales made through cloud partners as part of its revenue, while OpenAI only counts direct sales. That created the illusion that OpenAI was earning more than it actually is. • Real revenue: ~$50 billion, not the projected $70 billion • The earlier estimate was based on a comparison with Anthropic • OpenAI excludes partner sales from its revenue count; Anthropic includes them

AI-processed from TechCrunch; edited by Hamidun News
OpenAI's Revenue Is $20 Billion Below Investor Expectations
Source: TechCrunch. Collage: Hamidun News.
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Article Fact Sheet & Key Figures
ParameterDetails
Primary sourceTechCrunch ↗
Editor-in-Chief
Real revenue~$50 billion, not the projected $70 billion
Key metric #2The earlier estimate was based on a comparison with Anthropic
Key metric #3OpenAI excludes partner sales from its revenue count; Anthropic includes them

OpenAI significantly overstated its revenue to investors. The company told them its annual revenue is approaching $50 billion, down from the previously cited figure of $70 billion. That's $20 billion less than assumed, and it reflects a more realistic picture of the financial standing of one of the world's most heavily funded AI companies.

Where the $70 billion figure came from

The original $70 billion figure was based on information circulated through news outlets and shared with OpenAI's investors. It emerged from investors' attempts to draw a direct comparison between OpenAI's and Anthropic's annual revenues. However, that comparison turned out to be methodologically flawed, due to significant differences in how the two companies calculate revenue.

Methodological differences in revenue calculation

OpenAI and Anthropic calculate their revenue in fundamentally different ways. Anthropic includes in its annual revenue figure sales made through cloud partners and partner channels. OpenAI doesn't follow this practice and only counts direct sales to end users and corporate clients. This methodological difference explains the sizable gap between the original $70 billion estimate and the real figure of $50 billion.

Financial pressure and long-term sustainability

The question of OpenAI's actual revenue is becoming increasingly critical as the company tries to justify the enormous capital investments flowing into its development. During a funding round in March 2026 alone, the company raised substantial funds to expand its computing capacity.

An earlier financial report from the beginning of the year showed that OpenAI earned roughly $13 billion, but its spending significantly outpaced its revenue. That raises serious questions about the long-term economic sustainability of its business model and calls for a more aggressive approach to monetizing its services.

There had previously been rumors that OpenAI would pursue an IPO in 2026, but those plans have since been shelved. TechCrunch reached out to the company for comment on the new financial figures and for clarification on its revenue situation.

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Key Questions Answered

Where the $70 billion figure came from?

The original $70 billion figure was based on information circulated through news outlets and shared with OpenAI's investors. It emerged from investors' attempts to draw a direct comparison between OpenAI's and Anthropic's annual revenues. However, that comparison turned out to be methodologically flawed, due to significant differences in how the two companies calculate revenue.

What are the key details on Methodological differences in revenue calculation?

OpenAI and Anthropic calculate their revenue in fundamentally different ways. Anthropic includes in its annual revenue figure sales made through cloud partners and partner channels. OpenAI doesn't follow this practice and only counts direct sales to end users and corporate clients. This methodological difference explains the sizable gap between the original $70 billion estimate and the real figure of $50 billion.

What are the key details on Financial pressure and long-term sustainability?

The question of OpenAI's actual revenue is becoming increasingly critical as the company tries to justify the enormous capital investments flowing into its development. During a funding round in March 2026 alone, the company raised substantial funds to expand its computing capacity. An earlier financial report from the beginning of the year showed that OpenAI earned roughly $13 billion, but its spending significantly outpaced its revenue. That raises serious questions about the long-term economic sustainability of its business model and calls for a more aggressive approach

ZK
Zhemal Khamidun — CPO at Alpina Digital, product manager of AlpinaGPT. Building AI products since 2019. Hamidun News is a pet project that grew into a production aggregator with 6,000+ readers.
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